Chipotle (CMG)
Mentioned in 8 stories across 3 weeks · top score 38 ▲up 2 ▼down 62 strong weeks · 9 indirect reads · 10 accumulation weeks across 16 weeks
| week | read | tags | what the news said |
|---|---|---|---|
| wk of Apr 13 | ▼ down small | accumulation | No direct Chipotle, food-safety, beef/avocado, or restaurant-labor stories. Only read is an indirect consumer-spending drag from the Iran/Hormuz oil shock lifting gas prices, inflation, and delaying Fed cuts. Weak and ambiguous (trade-down could offset). |
| wk of Apr 20 | ▼ down small | accumulation | No direct CMG or restaurant news. Weak indirect drag: record consumer credit stress plus an oil/Hormuz shock lifting fuel, input, and freight costs pressures discretionary dining. Meatpacker probe mildly offsets on beef. All links tenuous. |
| wk of Apr 27 | ~ mixed none | No direct CMG news, no food-safety/beef/avocado/labor story. Only weak, offsetting macro reads: Starbucks peer beat (+) vs cooling consumer and oil-shock cost inflation (-). Net negligible. | |
| wk of May 4 | ▼ down small | accumulation | No direct CMG story. Soft restaurant peers (Shake Shack, McDonald's), beef-cost signals (Tyson, Brazil exports), and weakening consumer (record-low sentiment, record card debt) accumulate to a modest negative demand/cost lean. |
| wk of May 11 | ▼ down small | accumulation | No direct Chipotle news. Accumulating consumer headwinds (3.8% inflation, rate-hike risk, record household debt, oil/gas up) pressure discretionary dining; beef-license story marginally lifts input costs. Modest, indirect drag. |
| wk of May 18 | ~ mixed small | accumulation | No direct CMG news. Offsetting indirect reads: strong Cava fast-casual comp (positive) vs record-low consumer sentiment, rising debt, Home Depot pullback and firming inflation (negative). Nets to a wash. |
| wk of May 25 | no signal | No direct CMG, produce/beef/avocado, labor, or restaurant stories. Only diffuse macro (Iran oil, Fed rate-hike talk) that cuts both ways and is not CMG-specific. No real read. | |
| wk of Jun 1 | ▼ down small | accumulation | No direct CMG or food-safety/produce/beef/avocado story. Only diffuse macro headwinds for discretionary dining: sticky inflation, priced Fed hike, and an oil spike squeezing consumers. Weak, non-specific, sector-wide tilt. |
| wk of Jun 8 | no signal | No direct CMG news, no produce/food-safety or beef/avocado commodity moves. Only a hot-CPI macro read that mildly pressures discretionary spend/costs, but soft core CPI (0.2%) offsets it. Not enough to move the stock. | |
| wk of Jun 15 | no signal | No direct CMG story and nothing on produce, beef, avocado, or restaurant labor. Only diffuse macro: hawkish Fed and softer discretionary offset by cheaper gasoline. Nets to nothing CMG-specific. | |
| wk of Jun 22 | ~ mixed small | accumulation | No direct Chipotle, food-safety, beef/avocado, or labor story. Only weak indirect signals: Darden's soft casual-dining print and a sticky-4% inflation/Fed-hike backdrop pressuring discretionary, partly offset by strong consumer spend. |
| wk of Jun 29 | no signal | No food-safety, produce, avocado/beef, labor, or CMG-specific stories. Only diffuse macro (weak June payrolls, Nike consumer weakness) far too second-order to move one restaurant stock. | |
| wk of Jul 6 | ▼ down small | accumulation | No direct restaurant news. PepsiCo's soft U.S. snack demand plus oil-driven inflation and higher consumer inflation expectations imply a mildly weaker discretionary-spending and cost-push backdrop for a fast-casual chain. |
| wk of Jul 13 | ▼ down small | direct | Cyclospora in Taylor Farms lettuce (a produce/food-safety channel CMG is heavily exposed to, with prior outbreak history) is a negative overhang; Mexico opening is a small offset; oil-driven cost pressure adds mild drag. |
| wk of Jul 20 | ▼ down moderate | direct accumulation | One direct hit: the cyclospora outbreak traced to Central Mexico farms explicitly marks CMG down (co-tagged with SG and YUM down), and Chipotle is historically punished hard on produce-borne illness news. The macro backdrop reinforces the same direction: a Middle East oil shock drove Brent to $100+ and US gasoline to $4/gal, squeezing the discretionary consumer and lifting food/logistics input costs, with SPY marked down across nearly every oil story; softening consumer spending (Albertsons guidance cut) and tariff-driven retail pressure add further drag. Nothing in the week is CMG-positive, so the direct food-safety negative and the negative macro forces accumulate rather than offset. Net moderate down. |
| wk of Jul 27 | ▼ down moderate | direct accumulation | Net down: one direct negative (Taylor Farms Cyclospora food-safety hit, CMG tagged down) reinforced by a hawkish-Fed risk-off tape and slowing GDP that are untagged but directionally aligned discretionary headwinds; no offsetting CMG catalyst. |