Week of Apr 27 – May 4

300 stories · 107 with likely market impact

By stock — what the news called up or down this week

Every name this week's movers tagged (ETFs need 2+ mentions). held = of the driving stories checked 1–2 weeks later, how many played out.

stock	votes	driven by	held?
NVDAmixed	▲ 10 ▼ 11 ~ 2	Big Tech Raises AI Spending Plans Toward $725 Billion Xiaomi Open-Sources MiMo-V2.5 AI Models Under MIT License	1/2 held
XLEup	▲ 15 ▼ 3 ~ 2	Chevron Warns Hormuz Closure Risks Global Oil Shortages Kuwait Records First Zero Crude-Export Month Since 1991	1/2 held
JETSdown	▲ 4 ▼ 14 ~ 1	Chevron Warns Hormuz Closure Risks Global Oil Shortages Kuwait Records First Zero Crude-Export Month Since 1991	1/2 held
SOXXmixed	▲ 6 ▼ 9 ~ 4	Big Tech Raises AI Spending Plans Toward $725 Billion Xiaomi Open-Sources MiMo-V2.5 AI Models Under MIT License	1/2 held
SPYdown	▲ 1 ▼ 11 ~ 4	Chevron Warns Hormuz Closure Risks Global Oil Shortages Kuwait Records First Zero Crude-Export Month Since 1991	1/2 held
QQQdown	▲ 3 ▼ 9 ~ 3	Big Tech Raises AI Spending Plans Toward $725 Billion Xiaomi Open-Sources MiMo-V2.5 AI Models Under MIT License	1/2 held
USOup	▲ 9 ▼ 3 ~ 2	Chevron Warns Hormuz Closure Risks Global Oil Shortages Kuwait Records First Zero Crude-Export Month Since 1991	1/2 held
GOOGLmixed	▲ 5 ▼ 5	Big Tech Raises AI Spending Plans Toward $725 Billion Xiaomi Open-Sources MiMo-V2.5 AI Models Under MIT License	1/2 held
MUup	▲ 9 ▼ 1	Apple Forecasts 14%-17% Revenue Growth After Q2 Beat Samsung Chip Profit Jumps Almost 50-Fold on AI-Driven Memory Demand	2/2 held
MSFTdown	▲ 3 ▼ 5 ~ 1	Xiaomi Open-Sources MiMo-V2.5 AI Models Under MIT License Tencent Open Sources Hy3 Preview 295B AI Model	0/2 held
SMHup	▲ 6 ▼ 2 ~ 1	Apple Forecasts 14%-17% Revenue Growth After Q2 Beat Samsung Chip Profit Jumps Almost 50-Fold on AI-Driven Memory Demand	2/2 held
CVXup	▲ 6 ▼ 2	Chevron Warns Hormuz Closure Risks Global Oil Shortages Kuwait Records First Zero Crude-Export Month Since 1991	1/2 held

Tracked names — indirect reads

From the 19-stock weekly scan — supplier, rival, commodity, or policy reads the direct tagger missed.

MUup	up moderate	accumulation	Multiple indirect memory reads converge up: Samsung memory profit up 50x, A-DATA DRAM shortage, Qualcomm/MediaTek hit by memory shortage, Korea DRAM export gains, huge AI capex. Tight DRAM/HBM plus AI demand favors Micron.
BAdown	down small	accumulation	No direct Boeing news. Airbus lands a $21.4B China Southern order, and an oil-shock cluster (Ryanair failure warning, Air Canada/JetBlue guidance pulls) signals stressed airline customers. Mildly negative by accumulation.
CATmixed	mixed small	accumulation	No direct CAT news. Datacenter/energy capex boom (Big Tech $725B, Meta $145B) offset by hawkish rates on oil-shock inflation and China/EU tariff escalation. Weak, offsetting indirect signals.
CEGup	up small	accumulation	No direct CEG news. Surging hyperscaler AI capex ($725B, Meta $145B) implies stronger data-center power/nuclear demand, mildly bullish; OpenAI's data-center review partly offsets. Indirect accumulation only.
COINup	up small	accumulation	No direct COIN news. Firm BTC and multi-week ETF inflows, plus a stablecoin-adoption wave (COIN's USDC revenue) and advancing crypto regulation, lift the read. Hawkish Fed data partly offsets. Indirect, accumulation-driven.
DEdown	down small	accumulation	No direct Deere/ag story. Weak indirect negatives: hawkish rates lift equipment-financing costs, record diesel raises farm input costs, US-China tariff escalation risks retaliatory ag tariffs. Each faint and macro; nets to a slight drag.
LMTup	up small	accumulation	Live Iran war backdrop implies stronger defense budgets, FMS and missile demand, favoring primes like LMT. But no LMT-specific catalyst (no earnings/contract/FMS award); read is indirect and modest, tempered by rival Anduril funding.
UNPdown	down small	accumulation	Diesel at record $6 and Brent near $116 raise rail fuel costs; tariff escalation (EU autos, China) pressures intermodal volumes. Solid GDP/low claims are a mild offset but don't neutralize the fuel/trade drag. Indirect, accumulated.
WMTmixed	mixed small	accumulation	No direct Walmart story. Cooler consumer spending, reaccelerating inflation, and record fuel/diesel pressure costs and demand (negative), but Walmart is the classic trade-down beneficiary in this environment, offsetting. Tariffs are auto/oil-specific, not consumer-goods.
CMGmixed	mixed none		No direct CMG news, no food-safety/beef/avocado/labor story. Only weak, offsetting macro reads: Starbucks peer beat (+) vs cooling consumer and oil-shock cost inflation (-). Net negligible.

Week of Apr 27 – May 4

300 stories · 107 with likely market impact