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S&P 500 Falls 1.2% as Traders Bet Fed Will Hike Rates This Year

businessstocksmacroeconomics 286 posts · 68 accounts

U.S. stocks ended lower after Kevin Warsh’s first Federal Reserve meeting led traders to price in tighter policy ahead. The Dow fell about 1%, the S&P 500 dropped 1.2% and the Nasdaq slid about 1.3% as investors bet the Fed’s next move would be a rate hike rather than a cut.

The Fed kept its benchmark rate unchanged at 3.5% to 3.75% in a unanimous vote, but its new projections turned more hawkish. The median year-end 2026 fed-funds forecast rose to 3.8% from 3.4% in March, above the current range, and nine of 18 policymakers penciled in at least one increase. Warsh also dropped forward guidance from the policy statement, while officials raised their 2026 PCE inflation forecast to 3.6% from 2.7% and no longer saw inflation returning to the 2% target until 2028.

From the sources (25 posts)

@firstsquawk

Economists Bet On Higher Rates As Kevin Warsh Takes Reins At The Fed – FT

@cnbc

Treasury yields fall ahead of Kevin Warsh's first Fed meeting

@business

New Federal Reserve chief Kevin Warsh has promised an overhaul of communications

@business

The Fed under Kevin Warsh looks likely to communicate less with investors and that may mean more market volatility.

@coinmarketcap

THIS WEEK: 🇺🇸 Fed Chair Kevin Warsh faces his debut press conference Wednesday with inflation stuck above the 2% target and markets watching for any signal on whether rate hikes are coming.

@cointelegraph

🚨 UPDATE: According to Wintermute, markets are now focused on Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting, with investors watching whether he prioritizes 4.2% headline inflation or softer core inflation and falling oil prices.

@cointelegraph

⚡️ UPDATE: Markets are pricing in a 99% chance the Fed holds rates steady tomorrow, with investors focused on Kevin Warsh’s first comments as Fed Chair.

@milkroadai

RT @MilkRoadMacro: At 2pm EST today, Kevin Warsh will announce his first interest rate decision. There's currently a 99.6% chance that he…

@deitaone

🚨 *FED LEAVES RATE UNCHANGED

@bulltheoryio

BREAKING: The Federal Reserve leaves interest rates unchanged. This is the first Fed meeting chaired by Kevin Warsh.

@cryptorover

💥 BREAKING: The Fed held rates unchanged. Now all eyes are on Kevin Warsh’s first ever FOMC speech as Fed Chair.

@tradfi

*FED LEAVES INTEREST RATE UNCHANGED, WARSH TO GIVE FIRST FOMC SPEECH IN 30 MINUTES

@firstsquawk

U.S. (JUN) FED INTEREST RATE DECISION ACTUAL: 3.75% VS 3.75% PREVIOUS; EST 3.75%

@maxcrypto

🚨 BREAKING 🚨 🇺🇸 Fed keeps rates unchanged as expected.

@zerohedge

*FED HOLDS BENCHMARK RATE IN 3.5%-3.75% RANGE IN UNANIMOUS VOTE *FED REMOVES STATEMENT REFERENCE TO ADDITIONAL RATE ADJUSTMENTS

@tradfi

*FED LOWERS MEDIAN 2026 GDP PROJECTION TO 2.2% FROM 2.4%

@kobeissiletter

BREAKING: The Federal Reserve leaves interest rates unchanged in its first policy decision with Kevin Warsh as Fed Chairman.

@wallstengine

FED CHAIR WARSH HOLDS RATES UNCHANGED, AS EXPECTED

@zerohedge

*FED: NINE OF 18 FOMC PARTICIPANTS PENCIL IN 2026 RATE HIKE

@financialjuice

🔴 ⚠️ BREAKING: US INTEREST RATE DECISION ACTUAL 3.75% (FORECAST 3.75%, PREVIOUS 3.75%) $MACRO

@tradfi

*FED: NINE OF 18 FOMC PARTICIPANTS PENCIL IN 2026 RATE HIKE

@deitaone

*FED LOWERS MEDIAN 2026 GDP PROJECTION TO 2.2% FROM 2.4%

@gurgavin

*FED LEAVES BENCHMARK RATE AT 3.75%; EST. 3.75%

@bitcoinmagazine

BREAKING: 🇺🇸 Federal Reserve officially leaves interest rates unchanged.

@hedgeye

BREAKING: The Federal Reserve leaves interest rates unchanged

Preview built on a synthetic news corpus (16 weeks, Apr–Jul 2026). Impact calls are model reads, not price data.

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