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VoteHub Rates Texas Senate Race Tossup As Gop Committees Allocate $0 To Paxton Race

politicsus-elections 16 posts · 8 accounts

VoteHub downgraded the Texas U.S. Senate race between Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton to a tossup following its latest forecast model.

The rating shift arrives as a New York Times report detailed a GOP funding standoff over the contest. The Senate Leadership Fund plans to deploy $115 million across two other Senate races but has allocated zero dollars to Texas, according to the report.

From the sources (16 posts)

@polltracker2024

Texas Public Opinion Research poll | 7/15-7/17 LV US Senate Texas 2026 🟦James Talarico 45% (-2) 🟥Ken Paxton 40% (-4) (Change from late May) Link to poll:

@polltracker2024

Texas Public Opinion Research poll | 7/15-7/17 LV Texas statewide races 2026 US Senate 🟦James Talarico 45% 🟥Ken Paxton 40% —— Governor 🟥Greg Abbott 45% (incumbent) 🟦Gina Hinojosa 42% —— Attorney General 🟥Mayes Middleton 39% 🟦Nathan Johns

@polltracker2024

RT @PollTracker2024: Texas Public Opinion Research poll | 7/15-7/17 LV US Senate Texas 2026 🟦James Talarico 45% (-2) 🟥Ken Paxton 40% (-4)…

@polltracker2024

RT @PollTracker2024: Texas Public Opinion Research poll | 7/15-7/17 LV Texas statewide races 2026 US Senate 🟦James Talarico 45% 🟥Ken Paxt…

@ryangirdusky

So the Texas Public Opinion poll has Paxton down almost 10 points among non-college educated but tied among college educated? What?

@decisiondeskhq

RT @DDHQdata: Texas Public Opinion Research 07/15 – 07/17 1,048 LV Texas US Senate General Ballot Test 🔵 James Talarico -- 45.0% 🔴 Ken Pa…

@atrupar

RT @JakeSherman: New Texas Public Opinion Research poll. TALARICO -- 45 PAXTON -- 40 Talarico has +12 net favorable. Paxton -13. cc @J…

@barnes_law

RT @PollTracker2024: Texas Public Opinion Research poll | 7/15-7/17 LV US Senate Texas 2026 🟦James Talarico 45% (-2) 🟥Ken Paxton 40% (-4)…

@kurtbardella

RT @PpollingNumbers: New - Senate poll - Texas 🔵 Talarico 45% 🔴 Paxton 40% Last poll - Talarico +3 Texas POR #B - LV - 7/17 https://t.c…

@barnes_law

RT @IAPolls2022: James Talarico vs Ken Paxton (crosstabs) 🟦 James Talarico: 45% 🟥 Ken Paxton: 40% ⬜ Not sure: 14% Net Favs 🟢 Talarico: (+…

@votehub

Recent Texas U.S. Senate polls 🆕 7/15 (Slingshot): 🔵 Talarico +5 6/28 (A2): 🔵 Talarico +2 6/27 (NYT/Siena): 🟡 Even 6/21 (SoCal): 🔴 Paxton +1 6/12 (YouGov): 🔴 Paxton +1 6/4 (Siena): 🟡 Even

@polltracker2024

NYT: Republicans aren't yet funding the Texas Senate race The most striking piece of Mr. Paxton’s money woes is the high-stakes game of chicken that two of the Republican Party’s biggest money committees, along with their allied donors, ar

@votehub

Following today’s forecast run, VoteHub now rates the Texas U.S. Senate race between Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton as a Tossup.

@barnes_law

RT @IAPolls2022: VoteHub Ratings Update: Texas Senate 🔴 Tilt R → 🟡 Toss Up —— Other major ratings: 🔴 Inside Elections: Likely R 🔴 Cook Pol…

@statisticurban

Beginning to wonder if the GOP will triage Georgia and North Carolina. Thune's PAC, the Senate Leadership Fund, currently plans to spend $115 million on the two seats. But conspicuously, they've thus far allocated $0 to Texas... https://t.

@barnes_law

The incompetent waste of funds by the Republicans continues unabated.

Preview built on a synthetic news corpus (16 weeks, Apr–Jul 2026). Impact calls are model reads, not price data.

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