U.S. Treasury 30-Year Yields Jump to 5.134% As Rising Oil Prices Fuel Rate Hike Fears
U.S. Treasury 30-year yields climbed to 5.134%, the highest level since 2007, as an accelerated rise in crude oil prices stoked inflation concerns across the bond market. The 10-year yield rose to 4.634%, marking the highest reading since January 2025, while the 2-year yield reached a new 1.5-year peak.
Real yields on the 10-year note hit the highest level since 2023, with 30-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities yields reaching 2.95%. Interest-rate futures now show a 25% probability of a Federal Reserve rate increase at next week’s policy meeting. The current selloff has erased the previous week’s rally and reversed all gains on the 10-year yield following a recent memorandum. Historically, the S&P 500 index has pulled back within a month of the 30-year yield crossing or approaching the 5% threshold.
From the sources (10 posts)
@firstsquawkUS YIELDS EXTEND CLIMB WITH OIL, 30-YEAR HIGHEST SINCE MAY 21
@zerohedge*US 10-YEAR, 30-YEAR YIELDS REACH HIGHEST LEVELS IN TWO MONTHS
@businessThe US Treasury market fell, pushing 10- and 30-year yields to the highest levels in about two months, as a surge in crude oil prices stoked concern that inflationary pressures will prompt the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. https:
@kobeissiletterThere it is: The 10Y Note Yield has officially erased all of its losses since the "Memorandum of Understanding" was signed. This puts the 10Y Note Yield up to 4.63%, near its highest level since January 2025. 7% mortgage rates in the US
@lisaabramowicz1Real yields on U.S. 10-year Treasuries have reached the highest since 2023.
@steve_hankeThe 2-year US Treasury yield has risen to 4.2%. That's well above the Fed's fed funds target range of 3.5-3.75%. The bond vigilantes have come out of hibernation. THE INFLATION GENIE IS OUT OF THE BOTTLE.
@globalmktobserv🚨US TREASURY YIELDS ARE SURGING ACROSS THE CURVE: The US 30-year Treasury yield is up to 5.134%, near the highest since 2007. The 10-year yield hit its highest since late May, at 4.634%, near the highest since January 2025. This comes as
@macroedgeresReal yields on U.S. 10-year Treasuries reach highest since 2023 #MacroEdge
@biancoresearchThere's an old adage that goes, "When the Fed starts panicking, I can stop panicking." If the Fed takes inflation seriously, bond investors can stay calm. If the Fed wants to continually rationalize that inflation is not a problem, bond in
@kevrgordonNew 1.5-year high for the 2y Treasury yield today