Money Managers Cut Brent Net Length by 94,763 as Hormuz Reopening Pushes Shorts Near Record
ICE data for the week ended June 16 showed money managers cut their net length in Brent crude futures and options by 94,763 to 114,128. Long-only positions fell by 20,182 while short-only positions rose by 74,581, extending a sharp bearish turn in oil positioning and leaving speculative short exposure close to a record.
The repositioning followed the U.S.-Iran memorandum signed this week to end the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, the Gulf’s main oil-export chokepoint. Hedge funds and other money managers sold the equivalent of 95 million barrels in ICE Brent over the seven days through June 16, and speculative short positions moved to within 1 million barrels of their December all-time high. Gulf flows have started to recover since the pact took effect, with the US formally lifting its blockade on Iranian ports and Saudi supertankers and LNG vessels resuming transits, though traffic remains below prewar levels.
From the sources (25 posts)
@thestudyofwarStrait of Hormuz: Iran will likely try to exploit the agreement’s seemingly ambiguous language about the Strait of Hormuz to try to enforce its control over shipping through the strait. The MoU stipulates that Iran “will immediately take st
@staunovoRT @Rory_Johnston: Early signs that tankers are positioning themselves for a Hormuz reentry.
@staunovo#Iran has fired drones at commercial ships in Strait of Hormuz since signing of MoU The source added that all of the drones had been intercepted by the US military before they pose a threat to commercial or US military ships and personnel.
@staunovoRT @TankerTrackers: UPDATE: A 3rd NITC tanker, a Suezmax at that, has now exited the blockade line with 1 million barrels of Iranian crude…
@oilheadlinenewsIranian oil tankers have exited the zone in the Gulf blockaded by the US Navy, the TankerTrackers website says, calling it the country's "first crude oil exports in two months"
@staunovoRT @captsingh: ⚓️ Analysts expect the truce to restore Hormuz traffic. Both sides have incentive. But the geopolitical risk premium of $5–1…
@staunovoTrump administration officials are discussing ideas to kick-start oil tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, including a plan that would offer a fee-based “VIP pass” naval escort through the waterway, three people familiar with the di
@thestudyofwarNegotiations Period: The reported MoU terms also indicate that Iran structured the agreement to limit the United States’ ability to impose renewed pressure on Iran during the 60-day negotiations and thereby make it more challenging for the
@staunovoIran exports first crude oil shipments in two months, shipping tracker company says
@staunovoRemoving mines from Strait of Hormuz will be challenging, expert says
@no_itsmyturnAlso missing: any mention of toll-free/fee-free passage through the Strait of Hormuz for commercial ships
@no_itsmyturnThe text of the memorandum of understanding between the US 🇺🇸 and Iran 🇮🇷 reported by @Bloomberg is identical to the text published by Al Arabiya.
@clashreportJD Vance on Iran: The reason why we haven't released the MOU text is because some of our mediators — the Pakistanis and the Qataris — have asked us to sequence this in the right way. There are sensitivities that exist in the Arab and Musl
@mossadilTHE MOU IS ONLY 1.5 PAGES! According to CNN, the U.S.-Iran MOU was intentionally written in broad language to create room for further negotiations while allowing both Washington and Tehran to sell the deal differently at home. U.S. offici
@dlacalle_iaGoldman Sachs cuts oil price forecast as Hormuz deal brings forward Gulf supply recovery
@staunovo#Iran deal includes $300 billion fund, more than half of which already committed, source says The fund's existence has been previously reported but Reuters is revealing for the first time that more than half of the amount has already been
@staunovoInvestments pledged span energy, logistics, manufacturing and transport, the source said. A senior Iranian source told Reuters that Tehran had originally sought $400 billion as compensation for war damages from the U.S. but Washington had
@javierblasMy colleagues at Bloomberg News obtained a copy of the text of the 14-point draft memorandum between the US and Iran (which is scheduled to be formally signed Friday, June 19, in Geneva). Neither the White House nor Tehran have published ye
@dlacalle_iaQatar is beginning to bring some of its LNG tankers back to the Middle East, as the major supplier prepares to ramp-up exports once the Strait of Hormuz reopens following a US-Iran deal
@theinsiderpaperNEW: Bloomberg publishes text of the draft MoU between the U.S. and Iran
@wallstengineBLOOMBERG PUBLISHES REPORTED 14-POINT DRAFT US-IRAN MOU 1. The US, Iran, and their allies would declare an immediate and permanent end to the war on all fronts, including Lebanon, and agree not to launch hostile action or threaten force ag
@natsecledgerRT @shashj: I can’t see a single line in the MoU that commits to zero enrichment.
@laurnormanSo on the alleged $300 billion Iran fund, the text I have says that its implementation mechanism depends on the final agreement with Tehran. Which is an acknowledgement of what I said yesterday. That without broad/full sanctions lifting fro
@iranobserver0⚡️BREAKING: Iran will purchase over 100 Boeing aircraft from the United States if a Final agreement is reached between the two countries
@osint613Megyn Kelly pressed VP JD Vance whether the Iran MOU could be reversed. “You’ve already signed it. But it’s not legally binding. It’s a diplomatic agreement. If there’s an utter meltdown in the United States, it could always be undone.” V