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US Payrolls Rise 172,000 in May as Traders Fully Price Fed Hike by Year-End

businessmacroeconomics 140 posts · 59 accounts

US nonfarm payrolls increased by 172,000 in May, beating forecasts, while the unemployment rate held at 4.3%. Average hourly earnings rose 0.3% from April and 3.4% from a year earlier, the workweek was unchanged at 34.3 hours and labor-force participation held at 61.8%; private payrolls rose 120,000 and government payrolls 52,000.

March and April payrolls were revised up by a combined 93,000, to 214,000 and 179,000 respectively, with leisure and hospitality adding 70,000 jobs and local government 55,000. The stronger report sent Treasuries lower and drove traders to fully price in a Federal Reserve interest-rate hike by year-end, while interest-rate futures lifted the odds of a December increase to 63% from 48% just before the data.

From the sources (25 posts)

@deitaone

🔸 U.S. May Nonfarm Payrolls Due 8:30 a.m. ET; Seen +80K 🔸 U.S. May Unemployment Rate Due 8:30 a.m. ET; Seen 4.3%

@firstsquawk

U.S NONFARM PAYROLLS (MAY) ACTUAL: 172K VS 115K PREVIOUS; EST 88K

@deitaone

U.S. MAY NONFARM PAYROLLS +172,000 (CONSENSUS +85,000)

@financialjuice

⚠ BREAKING: US Nonfarm Payrolls Actual 172K (Forecast 88k, Previous 115k)

@financialjuice

🔴 US UNEMPLOYMENT RATE ACTUAL 4.3% (FORECAST 4.3%, PREVIOUS 4.3%) $MACRO

@firstsquawk

U.S AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS (MOM) (MAY) ACTUAL: 0.3% VS 0.2% PREVIOUS; EST 0.3%

@thestalwart

Breaking Booooom. 172k jobs Economists had expected 88k

@firstsquawk

U.S UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (MAY) ACTUAL: 4.3% VS 4.3% PREVIOUS; EST 4.3%

@financialjuice

CANADIAN PARTICIPATION RATE ACTUAL 65% (FORECAST 65.03%, PREVIOUS 65.0%) $MACRO

@zerohedge

US nonfarm payrolls 172K, Exp. 88K, above highest estimate

@financialjuice

CANADIAN AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS YOY ACTUAL 3.20% (FORECAST 4.6%, PREVIOUS 4.80%) $MACRO

@financialjuice

US LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION ACTUAL 61.8% (FORECAST 61.8%, PREVIOUS 61.8%) $MACRO

@financialjuice

US AVERAGE WORKWEEK HRS ACTUAL 34.3 (FORECAST 34.3, PREVIOUS 34.3) $MACRO

@financialjuice

US AVERAGE EARNINGS MOM ACTUAL 0.3% (FORECAST 0.3%, PREVIOUS 0.2%) $MACRO

@maxcrypto

🚨 BREAKING 🚨 🇺🇸 US unemployment came in at 4.3% Expectations: 4.3% The US economy also added 172,000 jobs in May, much higher than 85,000 expectations.

@financialjuice

US MANUFACTURING PAYROLLS ACTUAL 7K (FORECAST 2K, PREVIOUS -2K) $MACRO

@deitaone

US LABOR MAY NONFARM PAYROLLS +172K; CONSENSUS +80K US MAY UNEMPLOYMENT RATE 4.3%; CONSENSUS 4.3% US MAY AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS +0.32%, OR +$0.12 TO $37.53; OVER YEAR +3.45% US MAY PRIVATE SECTOR PAYROLLS +120K AND GOVERNMENT PAYROLLS +

@financialjuice

US PRIVATE PAYROLLS ACTUAL 120K (FORECAST 89K, PREVIOUS 123K) $MACRO

@financialjuice

🔴 US AVERAGE EARNINGS YOY ACTUAL 3.4% (FORECAST 3.4%, PREVIOUS 3.6%) $MACRO

@financialjuice

US GOVERNMENT PAYROLLS ACTUAL 52K (FORECAST -, PREVIOUS -8K) $MACRO

@financialjuice

US Unemployment Rate Actual 4.3% (Forecast 4.3%, Previous 4.3%) US Labor Force Participation Actual 61.8% (Forecast 61.8%, Previous 61.8%) US Average Workweek Hrs Actual 34.3 (Forecast 34.3, Previous 34.3) US Average Earnings MoM Actual

@yahoofinance

🚨 Breaking: May jobs report beats expectations ➡️Nonfarm payrolls: +172K vs +88K expected ➡️Unemployment rate: 4.3% vs 4.3% expected

@stockmktnewz

The 🇺🇸 economy saw +172,000 jobs added in May ABOVE expectations of +85K jobs added (NFP Non-farm Payrolls)

@hedgeye

🇺🇸 U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls surge to 172k (Est. 88k, Prev. 115k)

@financialjuice

🔴 Canadian Employment Change Actual 87.8k (Forecast 10k, Previous -17.7k) Canadian Unemployment Rate Actual 6.6% (Forecast 6.9%, Previous 6.9%)

Preview built on a synthetic news corpus (16 weeks, Apr–Jul 2026). Impact calls are model reads, not price data.

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