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IEA Sees Deeper Oil Shortfall as Iran's Kharg Export Loadings Remain Stalled

businessenergy-marketsoilworldiranpoliticswar 39 posts · 16 accounts

The International Energy Agency deepened its assessment of the oil-market damage from the Iran war and Strait of Hormuz disruption, saying global supply fell another 1.8 million barrels a day in April to 95.1 million and that cumulative losses since February reached 12.8 million barrels a day. In its monthly report, the IEA said output from Gulf countries affected by the closure of Hormuz was 14.4 million barrels a day below pre-war levels, global observed inventories fell by 129 million barrels in March and a further 117 million in April, and world supply is now seen running 1.78 million barrels a day below demand in 2026, with refinery runs falling by 1.6 million barrels a day.

That tighter outlook comes as Iran's main export terminal at Kharg Island appears to remain stalled. Satellite imagery compiled by Bloomberg from European Union Sentinel data showed no oil tankers berthed there on May 8, 9 or 11, the longest stretch without a loading since the war began; earlier ship-tracking data from TankerTrackers indicated Iran had gone 28 days without a successful seaborne crude export. With ships unable to leave the Persian Gulf because of the US naval blockade, tankers have increasingly been used as floating storage, raising the risk that Tehran may eventually need to curb output if storage fills.

From the sources (25 posts)

@ajenglish

Iran’s Oil Terminals ⁠Company has denied ⁠reports of an oil leak near Kharg Island, state media reported, after satellite imagery ⁠last week appeared to show a large slick west of the country’s main oil export hub ‌in the Gulf. 🔴 LIVE upda

@staunovo

#Iran denies reports of oil leak near Kharg Island export hub #oott

@javierblas

Kharg Island update: @CopernicusEU satellite imagery shows no supertanker loadings on May 8, May 9 and May 11 (we don't have data for May 10 from either Sentinel 1 or Sentinel-2 🛰️). It looks like the longest stretch without loadings since

@staunovo

RT @tleilax___: No ship loading activity in Kharg. Oil spilling continues and drifts towards Bahrain.

@staunovo

RT @JavierBlas: Kharg Island update: @CopernicusEU satellite imagery shows no supertanker loadings on May 8, May 9 and May 11 (we don't hav…

@mercoglianos

Photos Appear to Show Fire Aboard Iranian VLCC Disabled by U.S. Navy

@ajenews

BREAKING: US's Energy Information Administration says it expects Iran will need to reduce oil output, in part due to US blockade 🔴 LIVE updates:

@staunovo

Satellite imagery shows oil spill near Iran's Kharg Island, as experts warn of new leak

@staunovo

#Iran: Oil shipments from Iran’s main export terminal appear to have come to a standstill over the past several days, according to satellite images, the first sign of a prolonged halt since the start of the war. There were no ocean-going o

@staunovo

#Iran: Oil shipments from Iran’s main export terminal appear to have come to a standstill over the past several days, according to satellite images, the first sign of a prolonged halt since the start of the war. There were no ocean-going o

@burggrabenh

At least Iran crude oil exports are now stalling too. Took them a long time to figure this out. Source: @Kpler

@tankertrackers

To our best knowledge, Iran hasn't successfully exported* any crude oil by sea over the past 28 days. Some refined products managed to escape because US OFAC did not slap sanctions on those tankers. In addition, Kharg Island hasn't loaded

@staunovo

RT @TankerTrackers: To our best knowledge, Iran hasn't successfully exported* any crude oil by sea over the past 28 days. Some refined prod…

@mercoglianos

RT @Osint613: WATCH: Iranian oil tanker hit by the U.S. Navy near Jask, in southern Iran, are still burning 2 days later.

@defencegeek

RT @TankerTrackers: To our best knowledge, Iran hasn't successfully exported* any crude oil by sea over the past 28 days. Some refined prod…

@iranintl_en

Iran has not exported any crude oil by sea for 28 days amid the US naval blockade imposed in April, according to ship-tracking data from TankerTrackers, while loading at Iran's oil hub Kharg Island remains disrupted after a suspected oil sp

@mercoglianos

RT @TankerTrackers: To our best knowledge, Iran hasn't successfully exported* any crude oil by sea over the past 28 days. Some refined prod…

@iranintl_en

Iran has not successfully exported crude oil by sea for the past 28 days, according to maritime analytics group Tanker Trackers, which cited vessel tracking data and its definition of exports involving tankers crossing beyond a monitored na

@osint613

NEW: According to TankerTrackers, Iran has not successfully exported any crude oil by sea in the past 28 days.

@trenttelenko

RT @TankerTrackers: To our best knowledge, Iran hasn't successfully exported* any crude oil by sea over the past 28 days. Some refined prod…

@trenttelenko

RT @Osint613: WATCH: Iranian oil tanker hit by the U.S. Navy near Jask, in southern Iran, are still burning 2 days later.

@trenttelenko

RT @Osint613: NEW: According to TankerTrackers, Iran has not successfully exported any crude oil by sea in the past 28 days.

@johnkonrad

RT @mercoglianos: Iraqi Supertanker Pulls Back From U.S. Hormuz Blockade

@johnkonrad

RT @mercoglianos: Photos Appear to Show Fire Aboard Iranian VLCC Disabled by U.S. Navy

@mercoglianos

RT @business: A Chinese oil supertanker appears to be sailing out of the Persian Gulf, a rare attempted crossing through the Strait of Horm…

Preview built on a synthetic news corpus (16 weeks, Apr–Jul 2026). Impact calls are model reads, not price data.

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