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IMF Warns Sustained $120 Oil Could Push World Economy Into Recession

businessenergy-marketsoilmacroeconomics 176 posts · 60 accounts

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva warned that sustained oil prices of $120 to $130 a barrel through 2027 could push the global economy into a technical recession. Speaking in Poznań, she said such price levels would slow global growth to around 2% and that prolonged energy-price pressure would weigh heavily on demand and economic stability.

The warning adds a broader global risk assessment to a story already centered on the Iran conflict and supply disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz. Earlier, Australia said in budget scenario analysis that a worsening conflict could send oil to $200 a barrel and trigger a global economic shock, while Brent crude had climbed to around $105 after President Donald Trump rejected Iran’s latest peace proposal and shipping through the waterway remained disrupted.

From the sources (25 posts)

@politico

Ambassador Waltz insists US making progress against Iran

@treyyingst

RT @FoxNewsSunday: WATCH: @TreyYingst brings us a report from Tel Aviv as Iran responds to the latest U.S. proposal to end the conflict. ht…

@deitaone

IRAN'S PROPOSED TEXT IN RESPONSE TO U.S. FOCUSES ON ENDING WAR ON ALL FRONTS ESPECIALLY LEBANON - STATE MEDIA

@firstsquawk

IRAN'S PROPOSED TEXT IN RESPONSE TO U.S. FOCUSES ON ENDING WAR ON ALL FRONTS ESPECIALLY LEBANON - STATE MEDIA

@me_observer_

⚡️ Iranian TV: Iran's response to the American proposal, delivered via the Pakistani mediator, stipulates an end to the war on all fronts, especially Lebanon.

@iranintl_en

Iran’s proposed text in response to the latest US proposal focuses on ending the war on all fronts, especially in Lebanon, state media said on Sunday.

@ajenews

BREAKING: Iran says its response to the latest US peace proposal has focused on “ending the war and maritime security”, according to local media, after Tehran announced it had delivered its answer to Pakistani mediators. 🔴 More on https://

@ajenglish

RT @AJENews: BREAKING: Iran says its response to the latest US peace proposal has focused on “ending the war and maritime security”, accord…

@zerohedge

IRAN REPLY TO US PROPOSAL INCLUDES ENDING WAR ON ALL FRONTS: TV

@trtworld

Iran has sent its response to a US proposal aimed at ending the conflict, via Pakistani mediators, as tensions remain high around the Strait of Hormuz

@ajenews

UPDATE: Iran's response focuses on 'ending war on all fronts, especially Lebanon' 🔴 LIVE updates:

@iranintl_en

Pakistan has received Iran’s response to the latest US proposal, Al Jazeera reported on Sunday, citing unnamed Pakistani officials.

@financialjuice

Iran: proposed text in response to U.S. aims to end war on all fronts, especially Lebanon - state media

@afp

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Iran responded to Washington's latest peace proposal on Sunday, after drones threatened several Gulf region targets and Tehran warned it would not hold back from retaliating against any new US strikes. ➡️ http

@endgameww3

The Prime Minister of Pakistan announced that the Commander of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of this country has informed him that Iran's response to the proposal of the United States of America has been received.

@endgameww3

Update: Reuters: CAIRO/WASHINGTON, May 10 (Reuters) - Iran has sent its response to a U.S. proposal to begin peace ​talks to end the war, the IRNA news agency reported on Sunday.

@trtworld

Iran sent its response to the US proposal via Pakistani mediators, focusing on cessation of hostilities and wider regional security including Strait of Hormuz considerations, local media says

@rory_johnston

On Iran’s enriched uranium, “We’ll get that at some point…” and the US is “watching it” from space is actually a pretty big step-down from even his [latest] position earlier this past week that the US would “get it” (which felt like a big l

@oilheadlinenews

Trump on Iran's enriched uranium, buried under rubble: "We'll get that at some point... We have it surveilled. I did a thing called Space Force, and they are watching that... If anybody got near the place, we will know about it — and we'll

@nypost

Iran refuses to address nuclear program in latest peace deal response to US

@financialjuice

Pakistan government official: received Iran response to US proposal on Iran war, forwarded it to US

@endgameww3

Update: Reuters on a Pakistani government official: We received Iran's response to the U.S. proposal regarding the war and sent it to America.

@iranintl_en

Pakistan has received Iran’s response to the US proposal and sent it to Washington, Reuters reported, citing a Pakistani government official.

@firstsquawk

Pakistan government official: received Iran response to US proposal on Iran war, forwarded it to US

@sentdefender

According to Reuters, citing a Pakistani official, Pakistani mediators have now received Irans’s response to the U.S. proposal, centered on a potential memorandum of understanding between the two countries.

Preview built on a synthetic news corpus (16 weeks, Apr–Jul 2026). Impact calls are model reads, not price data.

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