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Australia Warns Iran Escalation Could Send Oil to $200 a Barrel

businessenergy-marketsoilworldiranmacroeconomics 249 posts · 68 accounts

Australia’s government used its annual budget to model a worsening Iran conflict that would drive oil to $200 a barrel and trigger a global economic shock. Treasury scenario analysis said prolonged fighting or damage to Middle East energy routes could disrupt oil supplies, push inflation above 7% and shrink Australia’s economy, with Treasurer Jim Chalmers saying the outlook now depends heavily on how the conflict develops.

The warning comes as market strains were already intensifying after President Donald Trump rejected Iran’s latest proposal and doubts grew over the ceasefire tied to reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Shipping through the waterway remained disrupted, and Brent crude had earlier climbed to around $105 a barrel as investors weighed the risk of a longer conflict.

From the sources (25 posts)

@insidergeo

UPDATE | Iran just put its three red lines on the US memo in writing. Foreign Ministry: "strongly rejected some terms." The lines: enrichment program is non-negotiable, no way they're shipping the 400kg of enriched uranium out of the countr

@endgameww3

RT @sentdefender: U.S. President Donald J. Trump has been silent on whether or not a response was received last night from Iran, choosing n…

@endgameww3

RT @business: Iran has still given no indication whether it will accept President Donald Trump’s plan, sent on Wednesday, which proposes th…

@defencegeek

RT @InsiderGeo: UPDATE | Iran just put its three red lines on the US memo in writing. Foreign Ministry: "strongly rejected some terms." The…

@endgameww3

RT @CaitlinDoornbos: We still haven’t heard about a response from Iran on the US’ peace memo. In the future, one diplomatic source suggeste…

@endgameww3

RT @TheIranianzg3z: BREAKING: The United States has still not received a definitive response from Iran regarding the draft memorandum aimed…

@deitaone

OIL MARKET ON EDGE AS IRAN STALLS Iran has yet to respond to a US plan to end 10 weeks of war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, keeping global oil markets under pressure. President Donald Trump warned the US could “go a different route” if

@business

The wait stretched on for Iran’s response to a US proposal to end 10 weeks of war, as the world’s largest oil company warned it would take months for the market to return to normal even if the Strait of Hormuz reopened immediately. https://

@cnbc

Tanker crosses Strait of Hormuz as U.S. waits for Iran's response to peace proposal

@ajenglish

The US continues to wait for Iran’s response to its latest proposal ⁠to end the war that spilled into the region, including Lebanon, and triggered a global energy crisis due to Tehran’s de facto blockade of the Strait of Hormuz https://t.co

@deitaone

IRAN'S RESPONSE TO U.S. PROPOSAL TO END WAR HAS BEEN SENT THROUGH PAKISTAN- IRNA

@rory_johnston

@deitaone

IRAN'S IRNA SAYS ACCORDING TO THE PROPOSED PLAN, AT THIS STAGE, THE NEGOTIATIONS WILL FOCUS ON ENDING THE WAR

@kobeissiletter

BREAKING: Iranian state media says Iran has officially sent Pakistani mediators its response to the proposed US deal to end the war. We expect to receive more details shortly.

@iranintl_en

Iran sent its response to the latest US proposal for ending the war to Pakistan, which is mediating the talks, the state-run Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA) reported on Sunday.

@ajenews

BREAKING: Iran's response to the US proposed text has been sent to Pakistan which is acting as a mediator in the conflict, state media is reporting 🔴 LIVE updates:

@osint613

JUST IN: Reports from Iran indicate that Tehran has delivered its response to the U.S. proposal to Pakistani mediators.

@mossadil

Report in Iran: The response to the American proposal has been delivered to Pakistan.

@zerohedge

*IRAN SUBMITTED RESPONSE TO US PROPOSAL: IRNA

@polymarketintel

Iran has delivered its response to the U.S. proposal through Pakistani mediators, according to IRNA.

@newswire_us

IRAN SUBMITTED RESPONSE TO US PROPOSAL: IRNA

@theinsiderpaper

JUST IN - Iran sends response to US proposal via Pakistan: state media

@barakravid

Iran sent on Sunday its response to the latest proposed U.S. draft agreement for ending the war through the Pakistani mediators, Iran's state media reported

@ajenglish

BREAKING: Iran’s response to the US proposed text has been sent to Pakistan which is acting as a mediator in the war, IRNA state media is reporting. 🔴 LIVE updates:

@joumannatv

NEW from IRNA (Iranian media) Iran Submitted Response to US Proposal , via Pakistan According to the proposed plan, in this stage the negotiations will focus on the issue of ending the war in the region

Preview built on a synthetic news corpus (16 weeks, Apr–Jul 2026). Impact calls are model reads, not price data.

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