IMF cuts 2026 growth forecast to 3.1% and warns oil shock could tip world near recession
The IMF cut its 2026 growth forecast to 3.1% because war-driven energy and supply shocks hit the outlook, and warned oil near $100 could drag growth to 2.5%, leaving the world near recession.
From the sources (12 posts)
@reutersIMF cuts growth outlook, warns world already drifting toward more adverse scenario
@bulltheoryioBREAKING: The IMF just warned the world is on the brink of recession. IMF cuts 2026 global growth forecast to 3.1% and warns of a close call for a global recession if the Iran war gets worse. HERE ARE THE NUMBERS. Base case: The war ends
@ftThe global economy is at risk of growing at its slowest pace since the Covid-19 pandemic if conflict in the Middle East keeps oil prices at $100 per barrel for the rest of this year, the IMF has warned.
@wsjA prolonged Middle East conflict could slash global growth to rates seen only in the deepest recent recessions, the International Monetary Fund warned in its latest set of forecasts
@reutersThe International Monetary Fund cut its growth outlook due to Iran war-driven energy price spikes and supply disruptions and warned that the global economy would teeter on the brink of recession if the conflict worsens and oil stays above $
@reutersbizThe International Monetary Fund cut its growth outlook due to Iran war-driven energy price spikes and supply disruptions and warned that the global economy would teeter on the brink of recession if the conflict worsens and oil stays above $
@thetranscript_IMF: "Assuming that the conflict remains limited in duration and scope, global growth is projected to slow to 3.1% in 2026 and 3.2% in 2027. Global headline inflation is projected to rise modestly in 2026 before resuming its decline in 2027
@reutersIMF downgrades global growth outlook as Iran war hits prices - as it happened
@yahoofinanceIMF warns the war in the Middle East echoes the shock of 2022 inflation.
@reutersbizEuro zone faces big growth hit even if Iran war quickly resolved, IMF says
@staunovoThe energy supply shock sparked by the US-Israel war against Iran and the uncertainty over the conflict's duration have forced the IMF to change its quarterly outlook for global economy by outlining scenarios that range from bad to worse.
@oilheadlinenewsIMF'S GEORGIEVA: RAPID GLOBAL RECOVERY STILL ACHIEVABLE IF WAR ENDS WITHIN TWO WEEKS; CONTINUED DISRUPTION THROUGH SUMMER PUTS GLOBAL ECONOMY IN ADVERSE POSITION 20 PCT OF OIL & GAS STILL ABSENT FROM WORLD ECONOMY; ENGAGING WITH NATION